Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
3º
3º
40
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
3 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
TNV
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Bijeljina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 3
VEL
17%
26%
57%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
SIR
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
SLO
26%
24%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
RUD
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |