Sarajevo vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
1º
8º
1º
1
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
7º
|
0 | 60 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 57 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 55 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 55 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 54 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 51 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
1 | 49 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 48 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 40 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 23 |
10º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
33.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 1
CSU
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
SAR
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 2
NKV
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VUK
3 - 0
SAR
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
POS
0 - 5
FKA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
POS
0 - 1
HKS
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
POS
1 - 2
SAR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |