Sarajevo vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
10º
4º
46
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SLO
74%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
FTK
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 2
SAR
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
DOM
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
NKN
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
POS
1 - 2
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
POS
71%
17%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
POS
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
POS
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
POS
2 - 1
VEL
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |