Sarajevo vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
37
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 3
SAR
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
ZRI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POS
0 - 1
SIR
34%
29%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZRI
5 - 0
POS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
POS
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |