Sarajevo vs Orasje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GLA
0 - 3
SAR
18%
26%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
SAR
1 - 1
SME
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
SAR
5 - 0
TRA
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SAR
3 - 0
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SAR
3 - 0
JED
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Orasje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ORA
3 - 1
POS
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MOD
4 - 0
ORA
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ORA
2 - 0
ČEL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MLA
2 - 0
ORA
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
ORA
4 - 2
GLA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |