Sarajevo vs Orasje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
POS
3 - 0
SAR
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
JED
1 - 5
SAR
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SAR
6 - 1
ZRI
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SAR
3 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
KOZ
1 - 1
SAR
14%
24%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Orasje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
ORA
2 - 2
KOZ
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ORA
4 - 3
MLA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
GLA
3 - 1
ORA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ORA
2 - 2
ČEL
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 1
ORA
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |