UCL Qualifying First stage Final
Global 9-1
Sarajevo vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 6
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
SAR
5 - 0
RAD
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEO
4 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 0
SIR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SLA
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 6
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SLI
1 - 4
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MSI
0 - 4
MAR
24%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |