Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 3-2
Sarajevo vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 4
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BBL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LSO
7 - 0
SVE
91%
8%
2%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VID
1 - 6
LSO
12%
22%
66%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LPL
3 - 2
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |