Sarajevo vs GOŠK Gabela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
3º
3º
16
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
3 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
TNV
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
GOŠK Gabela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HNS
3 - 1
GOS
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 3
GOS
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |