Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Sarajevo vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAR
4 - 0
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAK
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
0 - 0
DUK
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 3
TNV
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
2 - 1
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DUK
1 - 2
TNV
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
TNV
0 - 4
RUZ
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |