Supercopa Bosnia-Herzegovina Final
Global 5-1
Sarajevo vs Celik Zenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
SAR
1 - 2
FCK
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
FCK
2 - 1
SAR
18%
20%
62%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
SAR
1 - 0
AND
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
AND
6 - 1
SAR
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
SAR
4 - 0
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |