Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 2-3
Sarajevo vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 1
VEL
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
HEL
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CLU
1 - 0
GAL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
STB
2 - 2
CLU
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CLU
2 - 0
URZ
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
URZ
1 - 1
CLU
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CLU
3 - 0
TIM
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |