Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-10
Sarajevo vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
VEL
56%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BBL
1 - 3
SAR
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 3
SAR
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZVI
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 2
ATR
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 3
MON
9%
19%
73%
|
87 | 42 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
HSV
3 - 1
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BYM
2 - 2
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
STO
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |