Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-10
Sarajevo vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAR
4 - 0
MLA
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
RAD
2 - 1
SAR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 0
BAN
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
VBE
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
6 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 4
ATL
7%
17%
77%
|
87 | 40 | 47 | 0 |