Sapucaiense vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 0
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAP
2 - 1
AIM
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 0
LAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAP
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 0
SAP
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
AEG
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AIM
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAC
3 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 3
LAJ
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |