Sapucaiense vs AE Garibaldi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GLO
4 - 1
SAP
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAP
0 - 0
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 1
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
LAJ
2 - 1
SAP
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SAP
2 - 1
CAC
63%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
2 - 2
GLO
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
AEG
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 1
LAJ
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 3
AIM
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
AEG
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |