Sapucaiense vs AE Garibaldi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAP
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 0
SAP
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AIM
1 - 0
SAP
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
SAP
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SAP
1 - 1
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
AEG
0 - 2
AIM
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
AEG
0 - 0
POR
26%
24%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
AEG
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
AEG
78%
13%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
AEG
1 - 1
BRA
12%
23%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |