Sapri Calcio vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPC
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
VIG
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
NOC
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
NOC
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
ACP
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 4
COM
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NIS
1 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRA
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |