Sapri Calcio vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 1
SPC
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
72%
17%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 1
SPC
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NIS
0 - 1
SPC
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 2
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 0
MOD
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCS
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |