Sapri Calcio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASR
0 - 0
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
ACP
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MES
1 - 1
VIG
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 0
MES
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
MES
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ASR
0 - 0
MES
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |