Sapri Calcio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
27%
24%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIC
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
TUR
3 - 1
SPC
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASD
2 - 1
SPC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 0
MES
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MES
0 - 2
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 1
MES
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
FCS
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |