Sapporo University vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SON
1 - 2
PAR
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 0
HON
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
RYK
0 - 2
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |