SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
4 - 2
ORO
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
SAP
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 4
TRY
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
0 - 3
HOP
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FIV
4 - 1
SAP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
HOP
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
LIB
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 0
PAR
28%
24%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
SWE
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ORO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |