SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 5
ORO
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EGF
0 - 1
SAP
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
SAP
5 - 0
TRY
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
SAP
1 - 1
SWE
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
HOP
2 - 1
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
PBU
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 3
HOP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAR
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
ORO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
EGF
2 - 2
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |