SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 3
ORO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 3
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 1
GRE
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EGF
0 - 0
SAP
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 0
TRY
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
LIB
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
PBU
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
GLA
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |