SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
0 - 1
ORO
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
SAP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
FIV
2 - 4
SAP
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
SAP
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
HOP
2 - 1
SAP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
HOP
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
ORO
0 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
EGF
1 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
OTT
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PBU
0 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |