SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 1
ORO
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
SAP
45%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
SAP
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HOP
0 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIR
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
HOP
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 2
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 1
SEA
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |