SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALL
3 - 4
SAP
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SEA
0 - 1
SAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAP
1 - 1
ORO
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ORO
0 - 1
SAP
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
EGF
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
PBU
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |