SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALL
2 - 1
SAP
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VLI
4 - 1
SAP
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAP
3 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 5
SAP
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PTI
2 - 2
SAP
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
6 - 1
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
GOL
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 1
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 4
ORO
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 4
HOP
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |