SAP vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
PTI
1 - 2
SAP
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
SAP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SAP
1 - 0
VLI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
HAR
10 - 0
SAP
85%
10%
4%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
PRI
10 - 0
SAP
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
PTI
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
LIB
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 0
EGF
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |