SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
EGF
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
GRE
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
ALL
47%
20%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GSF
2 - 2
SAP
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
5 - 0
PAR
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 2
WIL
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
GRE
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ORO
4 - 2
VLI
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |