SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 3
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 1
GRE
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EGF
0 - 0
SAP
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 0
TRY
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 4
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 0
PBU
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ORO
5 - 0
GLA
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 0
ORO
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 4
ORO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |