SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
SAP
45%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
SAP
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HOP
0 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
SAP
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
ORO
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 2
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
HOP
1 - 1
ORO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 1
ALL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 3
ORO
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |