SAP vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAP
3 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 1
EGF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
SAP
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 0
SAP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 5
SAP
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORO
4 - 1
GOL
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
ORO
11 - 5
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VLI
2 - 0
ORO
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ORO
1 - 5
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ORO
1 - 1
ALL
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |