SAP vs Liberta SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
SAP
0 - 0
VLI
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
SAP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SAP
1 - 1
ALL
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAP
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
PTI
1 - 2
SAP
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liberta SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 1
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 2
EGF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
HOP
0 - 0
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |