SAP vs Five Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 2
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 2
GRE
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EGF
4 - 3
SAP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PBU
0 - 0
SAP
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ORO
2 - 2
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EGF
3 - 0
FIV
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FIV
1 - 6
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HOP
2 - 2
FIV
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FIV
1 - 1
OTT
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FIV
3 - 2
VIR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |