SAP vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ORO
3 - 2
SAP
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 1
SAP
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
SAP
0 - 1
LIB
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
HOP
0 - 0
SAP
51%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 4
HOP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EGF
4 - 3
GLA
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2017 |
TRY
3 - 3
EGF
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
HOP
2 - 1
EGF
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
EGF
1 - 1
PBU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 2
EGF
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |