SAP vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 3
HOP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
SAP
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
4 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
PBU
3 - 2
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PBU
2 - 1
EGF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 1
EGF
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EGF
1 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
EGF
2 - 0
WIL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
EGF
0 - 1
SAP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |