SAP vs Empire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SAP
1 - 3
HOP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SAP
2 - 0
ALL
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SAP
1 - 2
FRE
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SAP
2 - 0
PTI
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SAP
3 - 3
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Empire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
EGF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
EGF
3 - 1
PTI
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
EGF
4 - 1
ALL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 3
EGF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
EGF
3 - 0
VLI
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |