Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 3-1
SAO Raimundo EC vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAO Raimundo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
REC
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOT
3 - 0
REC
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
REC
2 - 2
TOC
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 1
REC
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
REC
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
ARO
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |