São Paulo U20 vs Grêmio U20 analysis

São Paulo U20 Grêmio U20
45 ELO 44
-5.5% Tilt 3.7%
5856º General ELO ranking 5576º
235º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
50.7%
São Paulo U20
23.7%
Draw
25.6%
Grêmio U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
São Paulo U20
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
Grêmio U20
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo U20
+20%
-45%
Grêmio U20

Points and table prediction

São Paulo U20
Their league position
Grêmio U20
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
18º
17º
14
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo U20
18
19
100%
Corinthians U20
17
18
100%
Santos U20
15
18
56.5%
Grêmio U20
14
17
27.5%
Athlético PR U20
17
17
44.5%
Palmeiras U20
16
16
64.5%
Internacional U20
13
16
41.5%
Bahia U20
14
14
15%
Cruzeiro U20
14
14
20%
América Mineiro U20
10º
12
13
10º
75.5%
Atlético Mineiro U20
11º
12
13
11º
75.5%
Cuiabá U20
13º
11
12
12º
0%
Fortaleza U20
12º
12
12
13º
4%
Fluminense U20
14º
10
11
14º
91.5%
Botafogo U20
15º
10
11
15º
91.5%
Ceará U20
16º
9
9
16º
91.5%
São Paulo U20
17º
8
8
17º
0%
Goiás U20
18º
8
8
18º
0%
Atlético GO U20
19º
2
2
19º
0%
RB Bragantino U20
20º
1
2
20º
0%
Expected probabilities
São Paulo U20
Grêmio U20
Next round
0% 51.5%
Mid-table
100% 48.5%

ELO progression

São Paulo U20
Grêmio U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo U20
São Paulo U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2023
SAO
São Paulo U20
2 - 2
Atlético GO U20
ATL
83%
11%
6%
46 26 20 0
15 Mar. 2023
BAH
Bahia U20
2 - 1
São Paulo U20
SAO
15%
21%
64%
47 32 15 -1
11 Mar. 2023
SAO
São Paulo U20
2 - 1
Cruzeiro U20
CRU
53%
24%
23%
47 44 3 0
06 Mar. 2023
SAN
Santos U20
3 - 2
São Paulo U20
SAO
31%
24%
45%
48 41 7 -1
19 Aug. 2022
ATL
Athlético PR U20
4 - 1
São Paulo U20
SAO
50%
23%
27%
49 49 0 -1

Matches

Grêmio U20
Grêmio U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
1 - 1
Santos U20
SAN
48%
24%
29%
43 43 0 0
20 Mar. 2023
CRU
Cruzeiro U20
4 - 2
Grêmio U20
GRE
42%
25%
33%
45 44 1 -2
08 Mar. 2023
FOR
Fortaleza U20
0 - 2
Grêmio U20
GRE
23%
24%
53%
44 34 10 +1
02 Mar. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
2 - 1
Athlético PR U20
ATL
29%
23%
47%
42 49 7 +2
07 Aug. 2022
GRE
Grêmio U20
3 - 2
Santos U20
SAN
47%
24%
29%
41 42 1 +1