Copa Brasil Sub 17 Semi-finals
Global 4-5
São Paulo U17 vs Bahia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
BAH
4 - 4
SPA
18%
19%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
RFE
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
RFE
0 - 0
SPA
14%
17%
69%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 2
ATH
42%
21%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPA
55%
20%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
BAH
4 - 4
SPA
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
JMA
2 - 5
BAH
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
BAH
6 - 1
JMA
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 4
BAH
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 1
FOR
42%
22%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |