Gaucho 2 Knock-out stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
São Paulo RS vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SGA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
1 - 1
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
URS
1 - 1
VER
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 1
URS
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
URS
2 - 1
PAS
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
URS
2 - 0
TUP
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
URS
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |