São Paulo RS vs PSTC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
INT
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PST
1 - 2
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSTC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PST
1 - 1
LIN
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
PST
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PST
0 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 4
PST
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PST
1 - 2
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |