São Paulo RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
PST
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IPA
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -4 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |