São Paulo RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAR
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |