São Paulo RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 0
SAO
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FCP
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRU
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
LAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 3
GUA
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |