São Paulo RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 4
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 5
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
GFC
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |