São Paulo RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 3
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 3
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 4
ECJ
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 3
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
GEB
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |