São Paulo RS vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SGA
3 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
ISM
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
LAJ
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LAJ
3 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
ISM
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |